Thursday, July 19, 2007

Mankind's transition...


Some world facts...let us do something to help save it.




POPULATION GROWTH
Global population is expected to grow by 1% per annum on average, from an estimated 6.4 billion in 2004 to 8.1 billion in 2030.
The demand for energy is growing at an average of 1.6% per annum. Global Energy Demand is projected to increase by 53% from 2004 to 2030.
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
70% of increase in primary energy demand during this period comes from developing countries. A result of the economy and population growth in these countries, which shifts the centre of gravity of global energy demand.
Average growth of world GDP – 3.4%.
COAL/ OIL/ GAS
Fossil fuels account for 83% of the overall increase in energy demand.
Oil is the single largest fuel in primary fuel mix in 2030, though its share drops from current 35% to 33%.
Coal sees the biggest increase in demand closely followed by oil.
Energy exports from non-OECD to OECD regions rise by 47%.
ELECTRICITY SHARE
Power generation accounts for 47% of increase in global energy demand by 2030.
Among all major end-use energy sources, electricity is projected to grow most rapidly by 2.6% per year as against the 1.6% growth of primary energy demand.
Coal sees the biggest increase in demand closely followed by oil.
CO2 EMISSIONS
Global energy-related CO2 emissions increase by 55% between 2004 and 2030 at the rate of 1.7% per year.
Developing countries account for 75% of increase in global CO2 emissions in this period.
Power leads the usage sector in CO2 emissions at 44% in 2030, followed by transport at 20%.
Coal overtakes oil as the leading contributor to global energy related CO2 emissions and continues till 2030.
Oil related emissions fall from 39% to 35%.
2030 OECD* per capita CO2 emissions – 11.98 tonnes of CO2 compared to non-OECD per capita 3.55 tonnes.
CO2 EMISSIONS
Global energy-related CO2 emissions increase by 55% between 2004 and 2030 at the rate of 1.7% per year.
Developing countries account for 75% of increase in global CO2 emissions in this period.
Power leads the usage sector in CO2 emissions at 44% in 2030, followed by transport at 20%.
Coal overtakes oil as the leading contributor to global energy related CO2 emissions and continues till 2030.
Oil related emissions fall from 39% to 35%.
2030 OECD* per capita CO2 emissions – 11.98 tonnes of CO2 compared to non-OECD per capita 3.55 tonnes.
INVESTMENTS
Meeting the world’s growing hunger for energy requires massive investment in the energy supply infrastructure. WEO-2006 calls for a $20 trillion (in year 2005 dollars) investment over 2005-2030. Power Sector accounts for 56% of total investment.
50% of energy investment is in developing countries.
China alone needs to invest $3.7 trillion.
Capital expenditure amounts to $4.3 trillion in the oil sector and $3.9 trillion in gas.
(Source: World Energy Outlook, 2006, International Energy Agency) *OECD – Organisation for Economic Cooperation & Development